How do the ratings work?

Our ratings have proved successful since we started providing the service in 2014. We focus on one simple principle, identifying the best horse in each race. Given a fair chance, the best horse should win.

The output of our ratings methodology is a relative rating of all the horses in each race, with the highest rating horse published as our top selection, the second highest rating horse being the second selection and so on for the four selections given.

Our top selection is the most successful of our four selections (as expected!) winning at a strike rate of approx. 30% across all races and tracks. We offer four selections for each race as we know many of our Premium Members pursue a variety of punting strategies including Dutch betting, exotics, value bets or each way bets. These other selections have consistently high strike rates with one of our four selections winning at a rate approaching 80%, highlighted by the second selection winning approx. 20% of the time.

In addition to rating the horses within a race, we rate each race based on the assessed probability that our selections will win using a simple three-tier race rating:

Specials (*) – The top selection is the clear highest rating horse and should win. On average, Specials win at a rate over 50%.

Probable (P) – The winner is expected to come from our four selections. Races designated as “P” on average have a win rate 5 percentage points higher than the average across all races.

Open (O) – All horses within the race have relatively similar ratings. Open races have a lower strike rate but frequently have higher priced winners.